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Colin Fraser, a Data Scientist at Facebook (and a former Lead Educator at BrainStation) has recently publish a dashboard that tracks the growth of COVID-19 across Canadian provinces. The data comes from the Johns Hopkins COVID-19 resource center, which they’ve shared publicly in this GitHub repo.
While Fraser cannot guarantee the accuracy of this information with the rapid progression of the virus, the data should be consistent with the Johns Hopkins dashboard.
Current Tally
According to the latest data, as of March 30th, 2020 there have been 7,385 confirmed cases reported in Canada, resulting in 79 deaths.
Breakdowns by province are below.
Confirmed Cases
| Province | Most Recent Data | Confirmed Cases | New Cases | Average Daily Growth Rate (Last seven days) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alberta | 2020-03-30 | 661 | 40 | 12.5% |
| British Columbia | 2020-03-30 | 970 | 86 | 11.4% |
| Manitoba | 2020-03-30 | 96 | 24 | 27.5% |
| New Brunswick | 2020-03-30 | 68 | 2 | 24.5% |
| Newfoundland | 2020-03-30 | 148 | 13 | 34.9% |
| Northwest Territories | 2020-03-30 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Nova Scotia | 2020-03-30 | 127 | 5 | 17.9% |
| Ontario | 2020-03-30 | 1,706 | 351 | 19.1% |
| Prince Edward Island | 2020-03-30 | 18 | 7 | 33.2% |
| Quebec | 2020-03-30 | 3,430 | 590 | 28.2% |
| Saskatchewan | 2020-03-30 | 156 | 0 | 14.1% |
| Yukon | 2020-03-30 | 4 | 0 | 8.3% |
Deaths
| Province | Most Recent Data | Total Deaths | New Deaths | Average Daily Growth Rate (Last seven days) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alberta | 2020-03-30 | 3 | 1 | 21.4% |
| British Columbia | 2020-03-30 | 19 | 2 | 5.8% |
| Manitoba | 2020-03-30 | 1 | 0 | NA |
| Newfoundland | 2020-03-30 | 1 | 1 | NA |
| Ontario | 2020-03-30 | 31 | 10 | 28.0% |
| Quebec | 2020-03-30 | 22 | 0 | 32.9% |
| Saskatchewan | 2020-03-30 | 2 | 2 | NA |
Confirmed Cases
Confirmed Cases Since The 10th Case
This chart shows the number of confirmed cases in each province, with the number of days since the 10th case on the x-axis. I’ve included New York State and Washington State for comparison, since those are two of the major US outbreaks. The dashed lines indicate how this chart would look if doubling the number of cases took two, three, or four days.
Growth Rate in Confirmed Cases Since 10th Confirmed Case
This plot shows the daily growth rate of confirmed cases since the 10th confirmed case. We want this to go to zero.
Confirmed Cases Over Time
This chart shows the number of confirmed cases on each date.
Deaths
Deaths Since 3rd Death
This chart shows the number of deaths since the third date in each province or state.
Deaths Over Time
This shows the number of deaths on each date (min three deaths). Note, I am not sure why Quebec dips for a few days, but this is consistent with the data provided by the JHU dashboard.
“The Curve”
This plot shows the number of active cases (cumulative confirmed cases minus deaths and recoveries) over time since the date of the tenth confirmed case in each location. This is “the curve” that you’ve heard about trying to flatten. Note that a different y-axis is drawn for each location.
Country Totals
This chart shows the number of confirmed cases since the tenth confirmed cases in a few selected countries.
Data
The data that I used to produce these charts is below.
Click here to find the COVID-19 data used by Fraser used.
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